Roll Calls, Party Labels and Elections1

نویسندگان

  • James M. Snyder
  • Michael M. Ting
چکیده

We develop a model of legislative policy-making in which individual legislators are concerned with both policy and re-election. Legislators’ preferences are private information, and they have two means of communicating their preferences to voters. First, they each have a ‘party label’ which credibly identifies an interval within which their ideal points must lie. Second, their roll call votes may convey additional information about their preferences. Each legislator must therefore tailor her votes to her district in order to forestall a re-election challenge from the opposing party. In equilibrium, non-sincere voting records will occur mostly in moderate districts, where extreme incumbents are vulnerable to challenges from relatively centrist candidates. In those districts, the most extreme legislators may even choose to vote sincerely and retire rather than compile a moderate voting record. Thus, both roll call scores and candidate types will be responsive to district type. An empirical test of shifts in roll call scores of retiring House members in moderate districts confirms these findings.

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تاریخ انتشار 2003